Wednesday, December 11th, 2024

Market Summary:

Current ICAP Momentum/Trend Model (MOTR) Signal: NEGATIVE (Day Count = 1)

The SPX Index was down 30bps yesterday, closing at 6034.  The Index has now had a three-day, peak-to-trough move of -1.15%.  Internals have faded and Spot VIX looks poised to spike.  The ICAP Momentum/Trend (MOTR) Model signal has shifted to Negative.  I continue to believe that there is more room for the Index to fade heading into year end.  Risk is skewed to the downside and could potentially accelerate in Q1.

I will be traveling for the balance of the week.  The next note will be on Monday, Dec 16.

Trade Support:

6000: Even Target

5976: Nov 9 Open/Low

5947: Nov 7 Open/Low

5864: Nov 6 Open/Low

Trade Resistance:

6100: Dec 6 High

6150: Measured Move

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