Thursday, November 14th, 2024

Market Summary:

Current ICAP Momentum/Trend Model (MOTR) Signal: POSITIVE (Day Count = 5)

The SPX Index was essentially flat on the session with intraday price action and internals telling a much more interesting story.  The day was one of complete indecision with a high/low spread of 43 points and an open/close spread of just 0.37 points.  On an intraday basis buyers pushed the index to a high of 6008 (current resistance) and sellers pushed the index to a low of 5965.  However, by the close the Index remained exactly where it opened.  Internals continued to flatten/fade slightly.  Overall, this indecisive action could suggest that the recent five day, ~6% rally may be losing some steam.  Follow through over the next few sessions will be key.   The ICAP Momentum/Trend (MOTR) Model remains Positive, but the strength of the signal has faded.  Overall, risk remains skewed to the upside, but I remain very focused on the potential for additional downside retracement and tests of highlighted support levels at 5976, 5947 and 5864.  As I said in the past two reports, “it feels like a good spot to lighten up on some longs and take a breath.”

Trade Support:

5976: Nov 9 Open/Low

5947: Nov 7 Open/Low

5864: Nov 6 Open/Low

5733: Sep 19 High

Trade Resistance:

6000: Even Target

6017: Nov 11 High

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