Monday, October 14th, 2024

Market Summary:

Current ICAP Momentum/Trend Model (MOTR) Signal: POSITIVE (Day Count = 2)

As I stated in the Oct 10 note, “the Index seems poised to break higher through the 5800 level with a retest of 5760 (now support) likely to occur first.  I am watching for that re-test and/or need the MOTR Signal to fully confirm with a shift to outright Positive”.  That was written coming off the Oct 9 close at 5792.  The SPX Index did in fact re-test 5760 on Oct 10 (low 5764) and proceed to break out above 5800 during Friday’s session, hitting a high of 5822 and closing at 5815.  Confirmation came as the ICAP Momentum/Trend (MOTR) Model Signal shifted to Positive on Oct 10.  Today’s cash session will mark day three of the current Positive signal.  I see risk currently as skewed to the upside with 5878 as the next upside target.

Trade Support:

5796: Oct 9 High

5760: Previous Resistance

5733: Sep 19 High

5686: Sep 19 Low

5615: Sep 18 Low

5600: Previous Support/Resistance

Trade Resistance:

5878: Projection Level

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