Wednesday, August 28th, 2024

Market Summary:

Current Momentum/Trend Model (MOTR) Signal:  NEUTRAL (Day Count = 4)

Although the SPX Index was up just 16bps yesterday (closing at 5625) there was greater intraday volatility with a high/low range of almost 70bps.  The high of 5631 was well below the previous session’s high of 5651 and shy of near-term resistance at 5645.  As the Index continues to consolidate, the Momentum/Trend Model (MOTR) Signal remains in Neutral and is degrading slowly.  I see risk here as balanced with a slight skew to the downside.  As I stated yesterday, I have flattened out most of my long exposure and am now net short with plenty of dry powder available.  I will continue to focus on internals and a potential MOTR shift to either Positive or Negative.

Trade Support:

5600:  Previous support/resistance

5582:  10dma

5562:  Jul 8 low

5500:  Jun 20 high and Jul 19 low

5495:  50dma

Trade Resistance:

5645:  Previous support/resistance

5669:  Jul 16 high

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