Wednesday, August 14th, 2024

Market Summary:

Current Momentum/Trend Model (MOTR) Signal:  NEGATIVE (Day Count = 19)

The SPX extended the rebound off the Aug 5 lows yesterday and has now recovered over 6% from that 5119 tick.  The Index broke and closed above 5400 (closing price 5434) and is now approaching additional resistance at the 50dma (ref 5451) and the 61.8% retracement level at 5459.  My Momentum/Trend Model (MOTR) has continued to improve and is close to a shift out of the current Negative reading.  As I wrote the past two days, “I am conscious of a real reversion in price to the upside and the potential for a shift back to Neutral or even Positive if price continues to improve.”  Any additional upside in today’s session will most likely produce a MOTR shift back to Positive.

Trade Support:

5400:  Prior Support/Resistance

5338:  10dma

5316:  100dma

5200:  Previous Support

5119:  Aug 5 low

Trade Resistance:

5451:  50dma

5500:  Jun 20 high and Jul 19 low

5669:  Jul 16 high

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